The upcoming Akwatia by-election, scheduled for September 2nd, has become a focal point of political attention following the untimely demise of the incumbent NPP MP, Ernest Yaw Kumi, in July 2025. A recent survey conducted by Global InfoAnalytics, an Accra-based research firm, has shed light on the potential outcome of this crucial election, projecting a victory for the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate, Lawyer Bernard Bediako. The poll indicates that Bediako is poised to secure 53% of the votes, establishing a significant lead over his New Patriotic Party (NPP) rival, Solomon Asumadu, who is predicted to garner 47% of the votes. This projected victory for the NDC represents a potential shift in the political landscape of Akwatia, raising questions about the factors contributing to this anticipated outcome.
According to Mussa Dankwah, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, several key factors underpin Bediako’s projected lead. Foremost among these is the electorate’s prioritization of development. The survey suggests that voters in Akwatia are increasingly focused on tangible improvements to their living conditions and infrastructure, and they perceive Bediako as the candidate best equipped to deliver on these aspirations. This emphasis on development resonates with the broader national discourse on economic progress and social upliftment, highlighting the importance of delivering tangible benefits to constituents.
Furthermore, Bediako enjoys strong support among younger voters, particularly those with secondary and tertiary education. This demographic cohort, often characterized by its engagement with political discourse and its desire for progressive change, appears to be gravitating towards Bediako’s vision for Akwatia. Their preference could be attributed to a variety of factors, including Bediako’s perceived understanding of the challenges facing young people, his emphasis on education and skills development, and his promises to create opportunities for youth employment and entrepreneurship.
Interestingly, the poll also reveals a correlation between educational attainment and voting motivations. A significant portion of voters, 57%, who indicate they will cast their ballots based on sympathy rather than policy considerations, hold only Junior High School (JHS) education or no formal qualifications. This finding suggests a possible link between educational background and the susceptibility to emotional appeals in political campaigns. However, the impact of sympathy votes appears to be relatively limited, accounting for only 4% of overall voting priorities.
The Global InfoAnalytics survey highlights the dynamic nature of the political landscape in Akwatia. While the NDC appears to be in a favorable position, the election outcome remains uncertain. The remaining days leading up to the by-election will likely witness intensified campaigning by both parties, as they seek to sway undecided voters and consolidate their support base. The NPP, facing a potential upset, will undoubtedly redouble its efforts to connect with voters and highlight its own development agenda.
The Akwatia by-election serves as a microcosm of the broader political trends within Ghana. The emphasis on development, the increasing political engagement of young voters, and the role of emotional appeals in shaping voter preferences are all factors that will continue to play a significant role in future elections. The outcome of this by-election will not only determine the political representation of Akwatia but also provide valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of Ghanaian politics. The close contest underscores the importance of engaging in a robust and informed political discourse that addresses the needs and aspirations of all segments of society.
The projected victory for the NDC candidate raises questions about the NPP’s performance and its ability to retain its hold on the constituency. Factors such as local dynamics, candidate appeal, and the overall political climate will play a crucial role in determining the final outcome. The by-election serves as a litmus test for both parties, offering an opportunity to gauge their strengths and weaknesses ahead of future electoral contests. The results will undoubtedly be closely scrutinized by political analysts and strategists, as they seek to understand the evolving political landscape and adapt their strategies accordingly.
