The latest national tracking poll conducted by Global InfoAnalytics reveals a significant shift in the Ghanaian political landscape, potentially posing a formidable challenge to the New Patriotic Party (NPP). The poll, released in July 2025, indicates that a substantial majority (66%) of those who abstained from voting in the 2024 general elections would now cast their ballots for former President John Dramani Mahama, the candidate of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), should they be given another opportunity. This finding directly contradicts the NPP’s narrative that voter apathy was the primary reason for their defeat in the 2024 elections, a loss marked by a margin of over 1.7 million votes. Key NPP figures, notably former Vice President and 2024 flagbearer Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, have consistently maintained that the party would have retained power if their 2020 supporters had turned out in 2024. The poll results, however, suggest that these non-voters, far from representing a pool of untapped NPP support, are largely inclined towards the NDC.
The implication of this trend is stark: if these previously abstaining voters had participated in 2024, the NPP’s defeat would have been even more resounding. This casts doubt on the NPP’s post-election analysis and underscores the party’s need to reassess its strategies and address the underlying reasons for its declining support. The findings also signal a growing momentum for the NDC and President Mahama, whose approval ratings have seen a significant boost across all regions, including traditional NPP strongholds. This broad-based support suggests that Mahama’s presidency is resonating with a wider electorate, transcending traditional party lines and potentially solidifying the NDC’s dominance in the near future.
The poll further highlights President Mahama’s expanding appeal across the nation. For the first time in Ghanaian polling history, a significant number of voters in regions typically considered opposition strongholds are expressing approval of the incumbent president’s performance. This unprecedented shift signifies a potential realignment of political loyalties and suggests a growing dissatisfaction with the NPP, even within its core support base. This widespread approval of President Mahama’s performance underscores a potential shift in the political landscape, potentially signaling a longer-term trend favoring the NDC.
However, the poll reveals a mixed sentiment towards President Mahama within the NPP’s own ranks. While a substantial portion (43%) of NPP voters approve of Mahama’s performance, a slightly larger segment (46%) disapproves. This division within the NPP suggests internal struggles and possibly reflects an ongoing debate regarding the party’s future direction and its approach to the now-opposition NDC. This internal discord could potentially hinder the NPP’s ability to effectively challenge the NDC in future elections and necessitates a cohesive strategy to regain public trust and support. The divided opinion among NPP supporters towards President Mahama reflects a deeper struggle within the party to define its identity and strategy in the face of the NDC’s resurgence.
This internal struggle further complicates the NPP’s challenge in reclaiming its position as a dominant political force. Rebuilding party unity and establishing a clear vision for the future will be crucial for the NPP to regain momentum and effectively challenge the NDC’s current advantage. The challenge for the NPP, therefore, extends beyond simply mobilizing its base. It must also address the underlying issues that led to its defeat and present a compelling alternative to President Mahama’s vision for the country. Failing to do so risks further erosion of support and a prolonged period in the political wilderness.
In conclusion, the Global InfoAnalytics poll paints a complex picture of the Ghanaian political landscape. While the findings highlight the significant challenges facing the NPP, they also underscore President Mahama’s strengthened position and the NDC’s growing influence. The poll’s insights into voter preferences and approval ratings offer valuable data for both parties as they strategize for the future. The NPP must grapple with the reasons behind the potential shift in non-voter preferences and address the internal divisions within its ranks. Meanwhile, the NDC must capitalize on its current momentum while continuing to address the concerns of the broader electorate to consolidate its support and ensure continued success. The poll serves as a crucial barometer of public opinion and provides valuable insights for political parties and analysts alike in understanding the evolving political dynamics in Ghana.
